Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 61.500142 69.805318 78.349736 87.764313 97.814523 108.192057 119.687473
2025-05-18 48.970518 60.816042 73.607884 88.312182 104.618700 122.030058 141.910978
2025-05-25 40.821340 54.443863 69.712422 87.812342 108.421156 130.921621 157.117400
2025-06-01 35.086946 49.951658 67.173980 88.132557 112.519238 139.620742 171.652653
2025-06-08 29.816874 45.346508 63.937029 87.129631 114.657537 145.738476 182.961367
2025-06-15 26.601974 42.886604 62.937973 88.474681 119.275398 154.489424 197.095727
2025-06-22 23.945788 40.842219 62.208250 89.937823 123.866231 163.083688 210.954720
2025-06-29 20.709485 37.695843 59.830038 89.154073 125.585069 168.180723 220.650965
2025-07-06 17.390923 34.089462 56.584987 87.050993 125.507462 171.001549 227.558920
2025-07-13 16.465258 33.806923 57.649239 90.363612 132.041422 181.678229 243.707051
2025-07-20 15.172976 32.847030 57.706580 92.307051 136.827963 190.230394 257.331360
2025-07-27 13.220322 30.676587 55.957111 91.773993 138.422777 194.860745 266.240992
2025-08-03 11.331841 28.427019 53.986752 90.885066 139.549370 198.944108 274.560888
2025-08-10 10.075315 27.082856 53.219657 91.546277 142.615980 205.388956 285.728962
2025-08-17 8.655111 25.277124 51.652770 91.019683 144.075985 209.797716 294.394032
2025-08-24 7.594879 23.982195 50.756942 91.349268 146.600018 215.495708 304.609408
2025-08-31 6.361709 22.177432 48.960512 90.324484 147.275328 218.833959 311.905272
2025-09-07 5.740714 21.504599 48.880902 91.698353 151.105482 226.128239 324.060680
2025-09-14 5.200102 20.923974 48.904776 93.192561 155.081424 233.603526 336.446840
2025-09-21 4.324001 19.456537 47.394188 92.392193 155.925700 237.072303 343.857137
2025-09-28 3.360599 17.561756 45.036972 90.244213 154.866153 238.053951 348.133373
2025-10-05 3.272107 17.840165 46.388191 93.627356 161.372346 248.758323 364.558428
2025-10-12 3.003507 17.599174 46.816027 95.611673 165.956470 256.995005 377.913147